Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.032076 0.034464 0.036849 0.039408 0.042070 0.044755 0.047666
2025-08-31 0.027162 0.030949 0.034859 0.039183 0.043815 0.048613 0.053946
2025-09-07 0.024102 0.028707 0.033580 0.039089 0.045110 0.051459 0.058630
2025-09-14 0.021467 0.026610 0.032173 0.038580 0.045701 0.053320 0.062040
2025-09-21 0.019315 0.024849 0.030957 0.038112 0.046181 0.054925 0.065042
2025-09-28 0.017099 0.022853 0.029333 0.037051 0.045879 0.055560 0.066878
2025-10-05 0.016218 0.022335 0.029333 0.037774 0.047531 0.058325 0.071039
2025-10-12 0.015222 0.021607 0.029029 0.038093 0.048678 0.060485 0.074492
2025-10-19 0.014035 0.020577 0.028307 0.037868 0.049152 0.061845 0.077008
2025-10-26 0.013499 0.020312 0.028469 0.038661 0.050785 0.064510 0.080996
2025-11-02 0.012735 0.019715 0.028193 0.038900 0.051744 0.066383 0.084062
2025-11-09 0.011876 0.018951 0.027674 0.038812 0.052291 0.067757 0.086539
2025-11-16 0.011045 0.018223 0.027218 0.038840 0.053033 0.069434 0.089466
2025-11-23 0.010137 0.017356 0.026566 0.038618 0.053479 0.070779 0.092036
2025-11-30 0.009362 0.016622 0.026045 0.038525 0.054055 0.072256 0.094745
2025-12-07 0.008483 0.015689 0.025224 0.038020 0.054097 0.073078 0.096663
2025-12-14 0.007691 0.014832 0.024464 0.037557 0.054162 0.073904 0.098569
2025-12-21 0.006750 0.013693 0.023278 0.036505 0.053462 0.073781 0.099326
2025-12-28 0.006500 0.013572 0.023461 0.037221 0.054965 0.076319 0.103252
2026-01-04 0.006132 0.013247 0.023348 0.037537 0.055957 0.078230 0.106427
2026-01-11 0.005616 0.012659 0.022843 0.037315 0.056251 0.079279 0.108559
2026-01-18 0.005447 0.012614 0.023097 0.038101 0.057827 0.081899 0.112587
2026-01-25 0.005125 0.012297 0.022951 0.038337 0.058694 0.083643 0.115554